Labor department article offers estimate for Alaska population in 2045

    Juneau, Alaska (KINY) - The August edition of Alaska Economic Trends includes an article on the state's projected population in 2045.

    State Demographer Eddie Hunsinger of the Research and Analysis Unit of the State Department of Labor and Workforce Development prepared the article.

    He said the 2017 population was just over 737,000 which has changed much in the last 4 to 5 years.  He attributes that to what he calls pretty strong net migration loses.  Net migration  is the difference between people moving to and from the state.  Hunsinger said over the long term when births and deaths are figured in with net migration the estimate is that Alaska will add about 100,000 people which would bring the state population to about 837,000.

    The population for Southeast is projected to drop by about 5,000, from 72,000 to 67,000.  Juneau's population is projected to remain stable at about 30,000, although Hunsinger said the population is now a lot older than it once was.  

    The Mat Su Borough is projected to add 65,000 people through 2045, a 61 percent increase.

    Anchorage is projected to add over 20,000 people, a seven percent hike.

    For the Interior which includes the Fairbanks North Star Borough,  the projection is an increase of 76-hundred, or 7 percent.

    The northern region is projected to grow by 15 percent.  It's 19 percent for the Southwest Region.  Two thousand more Gulf Coast residents are projected in 2045.

    The Alaska Native population is estimated to surpass 180,000 by then which would be an addition of more than 30,000 people.

    Alaska's under 20 population could grow for the first time in decades.  Hunsinger expects a 9 percent increase.

    The working ages of 20 to 64 is projected to remain flat or decline.

    The 65 plus population will continue its rapid growth through 2035, according to the demographer, peaking at 140,000 in 2035 which is a 68 percent increase from 2017.

    But seniors will probably remain a smaller percentage of the population than they are nationally, according to Hunsinger  He said seniors are projected to reach 17 percent of the state's population by 2045, but unlikely to surpass the projected national peak of 22 percent.

    Hunsinger made his remarks on Action Line.


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